Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.194749 0.226609 0.262109 0.304614 0.354151 0.410096 0.478129
2025-02-16 0.144750 0.186917 0.239049 0.308324 0.398123 0.510820 0.663376
2025-02-23 0.116516 0.161452 0.221063 0.306100 0.424633 0.584525 0.817510
2025-03-02 0.095305 0.139836 0.202389 0.296930 0.436753 0.636822 0.946504
2025-03-09 0.084406 0.130158 0.197706 0.305068 0.472283 0.724220 1.135395
2025-03-16 0.074141 0.119496 0.189486 0.305839 0.495621 0.795056 1.307500
2025-03-23 0.066906 0.112274 0.185171 0.311439 0.526294 0.879941 1.512146
2025-03-30 0.058781 0.102350 0.174999 0.305670 0.536831 0.932419 1.668613
2025-04-06 0.052487 0.094600 0.167292 0.302743 0.551254 0.992357 1.844884
2025-04-13 0.047647 0.088718 0.161968 0.303088 0.571083 1.063519 2.050011
2025-04-20 0.045297 0.087022 0.163811 0.316579 0.616498 1.186300 2.368022
2025-04-27 0.042846 0.084796 0.164336 0.327491 0.658102 1.306520 2.696524
2025-05-04 0.040155 0.081868 0.163360 0.335722 0.696265 1.426369 3.044467
2025-05-11 0.037130 0.077913 0.159928 0.338634 0.724159 1.529493 3.373112
2025-05-18 0.033936 0.073189 0.154334 0.336234 0.740375 1.610035 3.663601
2025-05-25 0.030423 0.067344 0.145697 0.326143 0.738463 1.651203 3.871255
2025-06-01 0.028902 0.065655 0.145710 0.335096 0.780107 1.793403 4.331946
2025-06-08 0.026886 0.062602 0.142358 0.335944 0.803143 1.896087 4.712804
2025-06-15 0.025449 0.060702 0.141358 0.342106 0.839421 2.033993 5.199285
2025-06-22 0.023303 0.056867 0.135450 0.335758 0.844470 2.097546 5.506813
2025-06-29 0.021565 0.053816 0.131042 0.332539 0.856871 2.180655 5.876928
2025-07-06 0.020200 0.051524 0.128206 0.332917 0.878502 2.289721 6.332005
2025-07-13 0.019734 0.051455 0.130854 0.347761 0.939940 2.509566 7.122932